Ebola, Numbers and Trust

Let’s see now……as of September 23, according to the CDC they are predicting 550,000 – 1.5 million cases of Ebola in West Africa by January 1.

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) released a report Tuesday predicting as many as 550,000 to 1.4 million cases of the Ebola virus in Liberia and Sierra Leone alone, by the end of January.

According to the Doctors without Borders 50-80% of those with Ebola die.

The current outbreak kills between 50 and 80 percent of those infected in West Africa, according to Doctors Without Borders.

The CDC numbers are more like 20-60%.
Yet Liberia has lifted it’s state of emergency. “More than 5000” people have died there which is a vague number. Currently there are about 14,000 cases.
Let’s look low…..IF half of the expected 550,000 cases are in Liberia and 20% of those people die from Ebola, you’re looking at 45,000 deaths. That doesn’t appear to be realistic.

I understand it’s not over.
I understand this is absolutely terrible and I want them to work for a cure.
I understand that these countries need help and money.

What ticks me off is the use of numbers taken out of thin air by folks who basically want more money. Why not be honest? The numbers are bad enough as it is.

One thought on “Ebola, Numbers and Trust

  1. Pingback: Ebola by the Numbers | Ruminants

Leave a Reply